Moon × Cryptid
Lunar Phase
Analysis
Do cryptid encounters cluster around specific lunar phases? This report applies Pearson's chi-square goodness-of-fit to 4,046 sightings across the 8-phase lunar cycle, testing whether the distribution deviates from the uniform 12.5% baseline.
Peak activity occurs during Waxing Gibbous with 13.6% of all cryptid sightings — against an expected baseline of 12.5% per phase under uniform distribution. The least active phase is Waning Gibbous at 11.5%.
The chi-square test fails to reject the null hypothesis. The distribution is consistent with random variation across the lunar cycle — no meaningful lunar bias is detected in this dataset.
Expected baseline: 12.5% per phase. Uplift = % deviation from expected.
Full Moon: 524 sightings (12.9%) — uplift +3.60% vs expected. Folk belief attributes heightened cryptid activity to the full moon. This dataset does not support that hypothesis.
Phase calculation — Julian Date method referenced to Jan 6 2000 18:14 UTC. Phase angle (0–360°) derived from elapsed synodic periods of 29.53 days. No external API.
Phase segmentation — 8 equal 45° segments across the lunar cycle. New Moon straddles 0°/360°.
Statistical test — Pearson chi-square goodness-of-fit. H₀: each of 8 phases equally likely (12.5%). α = 0.05, df = 7.
- △Reporting bias — Lunar brightness affects outdoor activity and visibility, potentially inflating sightings on brighter nights regardless of actual cryptid activity.
- △Timestamp precision — Many event records are date-only. Phase calculations use a midday proxy for missing time values.
- △No causal inference — Statistical correlation does not imply causation. This is exploratory analysis only.
BFRO (Bigfoot Field Researchers Organization) via Kaggle + Sentient Orbs community submissions. bfro.net/GDB
Julian Date method. Reference new moon: Jan 6 2000 18:14 UTC. Synodic period: 29.530589 days. All calculations performed locally.
Sentient Orbs does not claim ownership of third-party reports. Content displayed for research purposes only.
Cass County, Illinois, US
Baldwin County, Alabama, US
Martin County, Florida, US
Summit County, Utah, US
Clearwater County, Idaho, US
Shoshone County, Idaho, US
Pushmataha County, Oklahoma, US
Cherokee County, South Carolina, US
Elmore County, Idaho, US
Stevens County, Washington, US
Vilas County, Wisconsin, US
Kittitas County, Washington, US
Marion County, Texas, US
Kitsap County, Washington, US
Kittitas County, Washington, US
Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania, US
Dickenson County, Virginia, US
Jefferson County, Ohio, US
Washington County, Wisconsin, US
Mahoning County, Ohio, US
Guernsey County, Ohio, US
Ashland County, Ohio, US
Hardin County, Illinois, US
Hinsdale County, Colorado, US
Lawrence County, Tennessee, US
Livingston County, Missouri, US
Apache County, Arizona, US
Ashland County, Ohio, US
Humboldt County, California, US
Chelan County, Washington, US
Haywood County, North Carolina, US
Chelan County, Washington, US
Kingman County, Kansas, US
Ashland County, Ohio, US
Sarasota County, Florida, US
Dyer County, Tennessee, US
Berkeley County, South Carolina, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Menominee County, Michigan, US
Okaloosa County, Florida, US
Humboldt County, California, US
Pierce County, Washington, US
Kittitas County, Washington, US
Rockbridge County, Virginia, US
McHenry County, Illinois, US
Okaloosa County, Florida, US
Skamania County, Washington, US
Spokane County, Washington, US
Hancock County, Maine, US
St. Louis County, Minnesota, US
Perry County, Ohio, US
Newberry County, South Carolina, US
McCurtain County, Oklahoma, US
Parker County, Texas, US
James City County, Virginia, US
Penobscot County, Maine, US
Stevens County, Washington, US
Tulsa County, Oklahoma, US
Ontario County, New York, US
Benewah County, Idaho, US
Jackson County, Illinois, US
Latah County, Idaho, US
Wright County, Missouri, US
Oxford County, Maine, US
Cowlitz County, Washington, US
Spokane County, Washington, US
Hampshire County, Massachusetts, US
Jefferson County, Washington, US
Tulare County, California, US
Jefferson County, Ohio, US
Umatilla County, Oregon, US
Jackson County, Missouri, US
Shoshone County, Idaho, US
Sanilac County, Michigan, US
Mono County, California, US
Cass County, Missouri, US
Jefferson County, Illinois, US
Rio Arriba County, New Mexico, US
Clallam County, Washington, US
Montgomery County, North Carolina, US
Cleburne County, Alabama, US
Washington County, Indiana, US
Medford, Oregon, United States
Lewis County, Washington, US
Putnam County, New York, US
Skamania County, Washington, US
Boone County, Missouri, US
Brown County, Indiana, US
Chaffee County, Colorado, US
Lewis County, Washington, US
Cumberland County, Tennessee, US
Hunt County, Texas, US
Washington County, Alabama, US
Mineral County, Montana, US
Coos County, Oregon, US
Warren County, Ohio, US
Belmont County, Ohio, US
Beaver County, Pennsylvania, US
Le Flore County, Oklahoma, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Bonner County, Idaho, US
Perry County, Ohio, US
Harrison County, Ohio, US
Swain County, North Carolina, US
Fairfield County, Ohio, US
Skamania County, Washington, US
Bulloch County, Georgia, US
San Augustine County, Texas, US
Wilkes County, North Carolina, US
Humboldt County, California, US
San Diego County, California, US
New London County, Connecticut, US
Roanoke County, Virginia, US
Middlesex County, Connecticut, US
Skamania County, Washington, US
Grayson County, Texas, US
Summit County, Colorado, US
St. Louis County, Minnesota, US
Lane County, Oregon, US
Haywood County, North Carolina, US
Shoshone County, Idaho, US
Oneida County, Wisconsin, US
Pennington County, South Dakota, US
Yakima County, Washington, US
Burlington County, New Jersey, US
Parker County, Texas, US
Flathead County, Montana, US
Washington County, New York, US
Cass County, Texas, US
Summit County, Ohio, US
Larimer County, Colorado, US
Hardin County, Texas, US
Oklahoma County, Oklahoma, US
Wythe County, Virginia, US
Del Norte County, California, US
Jefferson County, Montana, US
Franklin County, Missouri, US
Okaloosa County, Florida, US
Yakima County, Washington, US
Fayette County, Georgia, US
Pend Oreille County, Washington, US
Pope County, Arkansas, US
Valley County, Idaho, US
Hillsborough County, Florida, US
Inyo County, California, US
Litchfield County, Connecticut, US
Grays Harbor County, Washington, US
Lawrence County, Kentucky, US
Elliott County, Kentucky, US
Pierce County, Washington, US
Skagit County, Washington, US
Whatcom County, Washington, US
Shasta County, California, US
Morgan County, Tennessee, US
Martin County, Indiana, US
Park County, Colorado, US
Warren County, New York, US
Hartford County, Connecticut, US
Barron County, Wisconsin, US
Clay County, Texas, US
Newton County, Arkansas, US
St. Louis County, Minnesota, US
Sabine Parish, Louisiana, US
Price County, Wisconsin, US
Alcona County, Michigan, US
Columbia County, Oregon, US
Missoula County, Montana, US
Manatee County, Florida, US
Delta County, Michigan, US
Clark County, Washington, US
Thurston County, Nebraska, US
Sawyer County, Wisconsin, US
Pierce County, Washington, US
Clermont County, Ohio, US
Wright County, Missouri, US
Ocean County, New Jersey, US
Skagit County, Washington, US
Washington County, Wisconsin, US
Dutchess County, New York, US
Stearns County, Minnesota, US
Leon County, Texas, US
Taney County, Missouri, US
Clinton County, Missouri, US
Belmont County, Ohio, US
Knox County, Ohio, US
Denton County, Texas, US
Madison County, Florida, US
Sanders County, Montana, US
Denton County, Texas, US
Northampton County, Pennsylvania, US
Rusk County, Texas, US
Sandusky County, Ohio, US
Montcalm County, Michigan, US
Litchfield County, Connecticut, US
Pend Oreille County, Washington, US
Bonner County, Idaho, US
Onondaga County, New York, US
Displaying 200 most recent of 4,046 total analyzed records